Showing posts with label Domestic Resource. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Domestic Resource. Show all posts

Saturday, 27 December 2014

Resource Poor Farmers Survival under WTO 

  • Muhammad Rasheed
  • Asif Maqbool
  • Naeem Qasim


Domestic support is the support/favor given to the resource poor farmers under the provision of the World Trade Organization (WTO) in order to improve their present pitiable condition. This commitment comes under Agreement on Agriculture (AoA). This support could be direct or indirect to encourage agriculture and rural development in terms of Government assistance. It can also be provided in terms of production subsidies, price support or other like measures.  However, some of the domestic support policies are thought to be more trade distorting as compared to others. 
The Agreement on Agriculture provides different rules for different types of measures according to their impact on trade. Thus domestic support is further subdivided into three categories. These categories have described into three boxes i.e. Amber Box, Blue Box, and Green Box.

The Amber Box measures are actionable i.e. are permitted temporarily but are to drastically reduced. Domestic policies that have direct effect on production and trade have to be cut back. WTO members were required to calculate level of such support for the base period 1986-88 and then reduction commitments were to be applied according to an agreed formula. Developed countries agreed to reduce these figures by 20% over six years starting in 1995. Developing countries agreed to make 13% cuts over 10 years. Least-developed countries do not need to make any cuts. (This category of domestic support is sometimes called the “Amber Box”, a reference to the amber color of traffic lights, which means “slow down”.) As this is trade distorting therefore, it is subject to reduction commitments. At present no such type of support is being utilized by Pakistan.
Certain direct payments to farmers are also permitted when they are required to limit production (called “Blue Box” measures).  Under this box, special government assistance to encourage agricultural and rural development in developing countries, and other support on a small scale (“de minimis”) is allowed but should not be more than 5% of the total value of the product in case of developed country and 10% or less for developing countries including Pakistan.  The de minims payments are allowed to be paid in addition to the Green, Amber and Blue Boxes.Any support with minimal impact on trade can be used freely and it is included in a “Green Box” This category includes, government services such as research, disease control, infrastructure, and food security. They also include payments made directly to farmers that do not stimulate production, such as certain forms of direct income support, assistance to help farmers to restructure their agriculture, and direct payments under environmental and regional assistance programmes. These measures are considered to have no or minimal trade distorting or production related effects, therefore are exempt from reduction commitments.

The use of Green Box subsides is flexible. There is no upper ceiling for this Box and any country can provide whatever quantum they want of Green subsidies provided that those are in conformity with the criteria laid down in Annex 2 of AoA.  The fluidity of Green Box has been subject to criticism since it is feared that advanced countries with abundant of resources have used the definition of this category to enhance the volume of Green subsidies, shifted subsidies from other boxes to this box and thus have evaded their reduction commitments in a way. For this reason there is a very vehement demand in the ongoing round of negotiations on AoA, particularly from developing countries that criteria for Green Box is tightened to stop its misuse.
Domestic support need to be given much importance by the Government of Pakistan in the current scenario, when other developed and developing countries are giving support to their resource poor farmers. Government should analyze all these domestic Boxes carefully and then decide about the provision of such facilities.
As most of our farmers are resources poor and illiterate and therefore, high responsibilities went to Government’s shoulder to kept them aware from changes that are being taking place at the world level and which affect the welfare of our local producer. Government can not provide price support or other trade distorting activities under WTO provisions, but can protect these resource poor farmers by providing information and extension services. As no domestic support on farmer’s output can be provided by the Government in the trade liberalization regime and therefore, it would have a negative impact on small farmer’s welfare that mostly use conventional and traditional methods of farming. After the implementation of WTO, neither they have resources nor the government assistance to use new technology. The developed countries with their advanced methods of cultivation and high crop yield will definitely enjoy more profit in the WTO regime. Government should make certain policies for the easy access of the required inputs to the resource poor farmers. Our farmers also have lack of information about modern technology and it is the need of the hour to disseminate most recent information about latest methods of production and modern technology that plays central role to increase productivity at the farm level.  In order to protect these small and resource poor farmers government should work out Green Box carefully. Subsidies should be given to small scale farmers as compared to large scale farmers.
Government can provide subsidy in agriculture sector for irrigation purposes. It is estimated that meager amount is being given as subsidy in irrigation water. In the construction of water courses 70 percent share is contributed by the Government and 30 percent by the farmers. Government should make such policies for the betterment of farmers’ in present conditions. Tax holidays and tax relief methods should be adopted for the agriculture and industrial sector.

Under the WTO rules watched by International funding agencies like the World Bank, IMF and the Asian Development Bank are not permitting to give subsidy and domestic support to agriculture sector.  Moreover, being an economist it can not be suggested to provide domestic support or subsidy to our agriculture sector because it leads to inefficient allocation of natural resources. However, we need to take care of our agricultural sector by using tools of green box otherwise; our agriculture sector will become uncompetitive, particularly in relation to the developed world, where 360 billion US dollars are being given as subsidy to their agriculture sector.
It is imperative that only proper measures will enable the agricultural sector to become competitive in WTO regime. The developing countries like Pakistan will be able to increase the exports of primary products in which they enjoy the comparative advantage. There in an ample scope in green box to give domestic support/subsidy under WTO regime to resource poor farmers.  Since the political government is in power now, therefore, we should renegotiate our commitments with International Funding Agencies and with WTO partners more tightly that can give us more flexibility to help our resource poor farmers.  It is high time to redirect and spare more resources to develop our rural communities and to give greater emphasis to protect small farmers and the disadvantaged regions.
In Pakistan resource poor farmers are not yet well defined and to use the option of support under green box we need define resource poor farmers precisely otherwise we can't get the advantages of giving any support to our resource poor farmers. Policy managers should arrange a platform that can bring agricultural researchers, farmers and policy makers to develop consensus to define resource poor farmers precisely.  We are already too late to develop such consensus and now without any further delay we need to work quickly along these lines.  This option will also allow us to give limited amount of subsidy to our resource poor farmers (any time we need) to make them competitive in some particular crop.  Otherwise we will remain uncompetitive in international markets as long develop nations will continue their subsidy programs. Is it not shocking that developed countries are giving subsidies to their farmers under the umbrella of green box and why we cannot? We can if we will be able to define our resource farmers and can convince the WTO community that they are really resource poor and under the umbrella of green box they need to be protected.  By employing these tools of helping small farmers there should be no doubt that we can survive under WTO regime but the only issue is to work in the light of WTO rules and have to prove that these rules are permitting us to protect our resource farmers.  In other words our policy managers has to explore more tightly and carefully the vacant rooms that are available and are providing flexibility to operate in WTO regime.


Credit Needs of Agriculture



  • Muhammad Rasheed
  • Asif Maqbool
  • Naeem Qasim

It is a very uphill task to assess the cash and credit requirements of the agriculture sector. The state Bank of Pakistan takes keen interest in providing credit facilities for agriculture, both through the development of credit institutions as well as through providing credit lines to the development banks and incentives to Commercial Banks.
Prior to 1972, Commercial bank’s lending to agriculture was nominal. Bulk of the credit to this sector was being provided by the Agricultural Development Bank of Pakistan (now ZTBL). With the introduction of Banking Reforms in 1972, several institutional and policy changes were made with the objective of more equitable distribution of bank credit among various sectors and groups. Agriculture sector was also a beneficiary of these policy reforms.
Illustration by AbroIn exercise of the powers vested in the State Bank of Pakistan, under section 25 of Banking Companies Ordinance 1962, effective from 1st December 1972 an Agricultural Loans Scheme was introduced. In the absence of adequately developed specialized institutions for this sector, commercial banks, with their large network of branches, were inducted in mandatory agricultural financing under this Scheme.
Agricultural Credit Estimates
The targets of agricultural loans were set by the National Credit Consultative Council(NCCC) and were based on the recommendations of the Agricultural Credit Advisory Committee( ACAC), ACAC was set up in 1972 to assess credit requirements of the agriculture sector in order to assist the NCCC in preparation of the Annual Credit Plan and to consider the ways and means for improving the disbursal and recovery of agricultural credit together with suggesting measures for the strengthening of institutional credit.
The ACAC, with the assistance of Committee of experts appointed by it, evolved a methodology for the preparation of estimates of agricultural credit requirements. First devised in 1973-74, the methodology was subsequently revised in 1978-79, 1983-84, 1989 and lately in 2001. Cash requirements of production loans were estimated on the basis of total acreage of land under various crops and the cost of inputs for each crop in each province, and the estimated personal savings of various categories of farmers in terms of size of holdings. On the basis of recommendations, made by committee of experts in its revised methodology report 2001, the ACAC approved that the effective demand for bank credit as percentage of total cash requirements of seeds, fertilizers and pesticides would be 95%, 60% and 40% for small, medium and large farms respectively.
The basic elements of the methodology devised to assess the annual cash and credit requirements of agriculture sector were,
  • Production and investment targets should be used for working out the cash and credit requirements to purchase needed inputs and investment goods.
  • Small and medium farmers needed more credit and due weight should be given to them.
  • Farm size should be the determining factor for estimating cash and credit needs for variable inputs
Estimation of Credit requirements of different crops
The prices of agricultural inputs have substantially increased, therefore, there is a dire need to revise the present indicative per acre credit limit of major, minor crops including non-farm sector i.e. livestock, fisheries, orchards etc to meet the genuine credit needs of the farming community. For this purpose, cost of production of major and minor crops and non-farm agricultural sector is needed deciding the limits of agricultural credit requirements.
Credit plays a vital role to ensure use of recommended dosage of inputs fro crops. The attempt has been made to estimate the cost of production of major and minor crops and some important orchard trees. For this purpose, cost of production estimated by Ahmad et al. (1993) was extrapolated to 2005 by using inflation rate and market rates were also used to estimate the cost of various inputs using quantities given by Ahmad et al. (1993).
1. Credit requirements of Wheat crop                                       (Amounts in Rupees per acre)
Cost
Amount
Cost on wheat  seed
450.25
Cost for land preparation
859.46
Cost of fertilizer
1585.55
Irrigation cost
591.59
Labor cost
2581.67
Total cost
6068.52

Credit needs of small farmers= 95%
0.95*6068.52= 5765.094 Rs/acre
Credit needs of medium farmers= 60%
0.60* 6068.52= 3641.112 Rs/acre
Credit needs of large farmers= 40%
0.40* 6068.52=2427.408 Rs/acre
2 .Credit requirements of Rice crop                                         (Amounts in Rupees per acre)
Cost
Amount
Land preparation
1739.43
Cost on seed
205.18
fertilizers
1208.26
Pesticides/insecticides/weedicides
344.24
Irrigation cost
2364.66
Labor cost
1666.51
Total cost
7528.28

Credit needs for small farmers= 95%
0.95* 7528.28= 7151.866 Rs. /acre
Credit needs of medium farmers= 60%
0.60* 7528.28= 4516.968 Rs. /acre
Credit needs of large farmers= 40%
0.40* 7528.28= 3011.312 Rs. /acre
3 .Credit requirements of Cotton crop                              (Amounts in Rupees per acre)
Cost
Amount
Land preparation
1042.98
Seeds
180.10
fertilizer
2145.23
Pesticides/weedicides
3529.02
Cost of irrigation
887.38
Labor cost
2104.32
Total cost
9889.03

Credit needs of small farmers= 95%
0.95* 9889.03= 9394.578 Rs/acre
Credit needs of medium farmers= 60%
0.60* 9889.03= 5933.418 Rs/acre
Credit needs of large farmers= 40%
0.40* 9889.03= 3955.612 Rs/acre